Ninety NotesFootball. In perspective.Previous matchday
Original predictions beside the results currently available.
England
2026-09-12 – 2026-09-14 · 10/10 matches have saved predictions. 10 results assessed; 0 pending or excluded.
Expected result: Aston Villa win · 46.2%
Outcome correct · exact score missed
Expected winner/draw pick: missed.
10.9% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: AFC Bournemouth win · 43.9%
Outcome correct · exact score missed
Expected winner/draw pick: correct.
13.1% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: Chelsea win · 47%
Outcome correct · exact score missed
Expected winner/draw pick: missed.
11.8% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: Crystal Palace win · 43.4%
Score and its outcome missed
Expected winner/draw pick: missed.
12.3% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: Liverpool win · 58.6%
Score and its outcome missed
Expected winner/draw pick: missed.
11.7% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: Everton win · 38.6%
Outcome correct · exact score missed
Expected winner/draw pick: missed.
12.7% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: Arsenal win · 48%
Outcome correct · exact score missed
Expected winner/draw pick: correct.
13.8% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: Coventry City win · 39.3%
Score and its outcome missed
Expected winner/draw pick: missed.
11.1% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: Manchester City win · 45%
Score and its outcome missed
Expected winner/draw pick: correct.
11.6% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: Leeds United win · 44.3%
Score and its outcome missed
Expected winner/draw pick: correct.
12.6% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
For example, predicting 2–1 when the result is 3–1 gets the outcome right, but not the exact score. The most probable winner/draw can differ from the displayed score’s outcome.
Forecast saved 9/10/2026, 10:30:13 AM. Source last checked 9/17/2026, 12:03:37 AM. Original predictions are never replaced with later guesses.
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Expected result: Brentford win · 38.8%
9.7% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: Aston Villa win · 39.9%
10.8% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: Arsenal win · 48%
12.3% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: Everton win · 48.6%
11.3% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: Newcastle United win · 51.1%
10% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: Nottingham Forest win · 40.7%
13.1% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: AFC Bournemouth win · 37.6%
11.9% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: Leeds United win · 43.2%
12.5% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: Manchester City win · 67%
Stronger signal · 65%+★ Weekly pick11.8% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: Fulham win · 38.4%
12.2% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: Real Betis Balompié win · 51.5%
★ Weekly pick · relative pick, below 65%13.7% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: Málaga CF win · 42.8%
11.5% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: FC Bayern München win · 82.6%
Stronger signal · 65%+★ Weekly pick9.4% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win · 39.5%
11% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: Eintracht Frankfurt win · 59.8%
9.9% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: Hamburger SV win · 50%
11.3% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: SV Werder Bremen win · 39.5%
12.2% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: VfB Stuttgart win · 42.9%
10.7% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win · 54.2%
10.3% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: FC Schalke 04 win · 43.1%
10.4% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: SC Paderborn 07 win · 45.4%
9.9% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: AS Monaco win · 49.3%
13.6% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: Paris win · 44.7%
12.1% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: ES Troyes AC win · 48.5%
11.1% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: Le Mans win · 55.7%
★ Weekly pick · relative pick, below 65%10.4% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: Olympique Lyonnais win · 45.7%
10.2% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: Toulouse win · 38.7%
12.4% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: AJ Auxerre win · 46.3%
11.7% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: OGC Nice win · 49.3%
15.7% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Expected result: Paris Saint-Germain win · 51.1%
9.9% probability of this exact score
This is the most probable score, not a guaranteed result.
Prepared 17 Sept 2026, 11:31.
★ marks the strongest relative outcome in each league. An asterisk beside a goal marks a 35%+ exact-goal estimate.
Grounded in statistics. Tested on past matches. Tracked against real results.
The shortlist
Stronger model signals only; every match can still surprise us.
Matchday 5 · 2026-09-18 – 2026-09-20
One goal at a time — football does the rest.
Matchday 5 · 2026-09-18 – 2026-09-20
Football always saves space for a plot twist.
Matchday 6 · 2026-09-15 – 2026-09-17
Calm choices, loud stadiums.
Matchday 6 · 2026-09-15 – 2026-09-17
Pick the idea, keep your balance.
Matchday 4 · 2026-09-18 – 2026-09-20
Keep it simple and enjoy the match.
Matchday 4 · 2026-09-18 – 2026-09-20
Confidence is useful; certainty stays home.
Matchday 5 · 2026-09-18 – 2026-09-20
Patience lasts longer than a scoreline.
Matchday 5 · 2026-09-18 – 2026-09-20
No selection reached the confidence level.
The brave call gets ninety minutes to breathe.
Built from a love of football and a curiosity for numbers—where mathematics, code and patient observation meet.
Forecasts and tickets are statistical estimates. They cannot guarantee a score or profit; every decision remains yours.